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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

GBP/USD: Retail longs take profit as short-term overview shifts to bullish

Increased volatility reduces likelihood that pivot points – in either direction – may fail to hold.

GBP Source: Bloomberg

GBP/USD Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

In terms of market movement, GBP/USD's price registered a large gain, enough to shift the bulk of its main technical indicators and its technical overview to a bull trend and more in line with its long-term stalling bull trend overview on the weekly overview. However, we’ve been here plenty of times before where volatility has pushed its price far past its main pivot pivots, and not necessarily in the upside direction. Economic data will be released today for the UK, with expectations for its manufacturing PMI (Purchasing Managers Index) to continue to show sub-50 and hence contraction in the sector. There will also be UK lending data to contend with tomorrow before attention shifts back to the US dollar and any affect from US data and central bank minutes.

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GBPUSD TA Source: IG charts
GBPUSD TA Source: IG charts

IG client and CoT sentiment for GBP/USD

In sentiment, retail bias has dropped 10% on a combination of long profit-taking and short initiation, standing at a similar percentage to that of larger speculative traders according to the latest CoT (Commitment of Traders) report.

GBPUSD sentiment Source: IG charts
GBPUSD sentiment Source: IG charts

GBP/USD Chart with retail and institutional sentiment

GBPUSD chart Source: IG charts
GBPUSD chart Source: IG charts

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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