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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

GBP/USD: Surprise BoE rate cut and rise in asset purchases

Short positions in the pound surge, but retail and institutional traders remain majority long.

GBPUSD Source: Bloomberg

GBP/USD Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

Conformist volatility breakout strategies were also big beneficiaries last week, with its price crashing well past last week's Weekly Support levels even if its price spiked higher on Friday (which more than aided conformist breakout strategies for daily levels as well as per last Thursday's Daily Market Report). Thursday's late surprise Bank of England rate cut took its key interest rate down to 0.1%, and the central bank also opted to raise asset purchases to ₤645bn. From a technical standpoint – and it remains volatile despite temptations to label it a bear trend – all its main technical indicators are flashing red, and a negative DMI (Directional Movement Index) cross occurred last week.

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GBPUSD TA Source: IG charts

IG client* and CoT sentiment for GBP/USD

In sentiment, both retail and CoT (Commitment of Traders’ larger speculative) traders are majority long, the latter reducing their long bias by 5% on an 8,186 lot increase in short positions as opposed to a 498 lot increase in pound longs.

GBPUSD sentiment Source: IG charts

GBP/USD Chart with retail and institutional sentiment

GBPUSD chart Source: IG charts

*The percentage of IG client accounts with positions in this market that are currently long or short. Calculated to the nearest 1%, as of today morning 8am.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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