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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Gold and silver oscillate again, oil rises slightly

Oil retail longs swift to take profit, bias close to shifting to majority short.

Silver Source: Bloomberg

Gold Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

It was another day of rangebound movement for gold prices, which managed to gain somewhat thanks to a risk-off mood in equities. More talk of stimulus out of the US translated automatically into more central bank aid, and talk of negative rates would certainly help put a floor on gold prices given it’s a non-yielding asset. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Powell will be speaking later today and will likely address those concerns which could have implications on the US dollar, and hence USD related pairs and products like gold priced in the greenback. From a technical standpoint, while its overview is still bullish, it has stalled heavily at the highs and has failed on most days to offer breakout opportunities on a lack of follow through.

Gold Technical Indicators Source: IG charts

IG client* and CoT sentiment for Gold

The lack of movement has translated into a lack of change in sentiment, with retail traders still holding a long bias that’s hovering near extreme long levels.

Gold sentiment Source: IG charts

Gold chart with retail and institutional sentiment

Gold Source: IG charts

Silver Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

As with gold, it was another non-story for silver prices as it oscillated with very narrow ranges and failed to reach either of its key pivot points. That's not to take away from positive technical bias that has been building, but far more will be needed in consecutive action for a bullish case. The US dollar might be more volatile when the Fed's Powell speaks today, and any talk of yield could infuse more volatility in this precious metal's price.

Silver Technical Indicators Source: IG charts

IG client* and CoT sentiment for Silver

Here too, retail bias is unchanged at an extreme long 89% on a lack of change in price.

Silver sentiment Source: IG charts

Silver chart with retail and institutional sentiment

Silver Source: IG charts

Oil Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

Oil prices have begun to settle at these relative highs with its price closing above its 50-day moving average yesterday but failing to offer any pivot point action on a lack of follow through. In oil data, API's (American Petroleum Institute) reading came in at a sizeable 7.6m surplus, lower than the week before but still significant. EIA's (Energy Information Agency) figure is up next today expected to show a smaller 4.1m increase after last week's 4.6m surplus. Governments (and regions) are still torn between lockdown easing or reversing to impose further restrictions as coronavirus cases rise, but in the absence of a full lockdown globally, energy demand could slowly pick up combined with further output cuts out of OPEC.

Learn more about oil trading.

Oil Technical Indicators Source: IG charts

IG client* and CoT sentiment for Oil WTI

In sentiment, retail longs are closing out more swiftly, with the bias not that far off from shifting to majority short.

Oil sentiment Source: IG charts

Oil WTI chart with retail and institutional sentiment

Oil Source: IG charts

*The percentage of IG client accounts with positions in this market that are currently long or short. Calculated to the nearest 1%, as of today morning 8am.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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