Japanese yen at a crossroads as bearishness fades in EUR/USD and EUR/JPY

USD/JPY technical analysis

USD/JPY made a 32-year high in October at 151.95 on the day that the Bank of Japan intervened for the second time to prevent the yen from depreciating. Since that peak, the price has been within a descending trend channel.

The four-month low of 133.63 made at the start of the month was above the lower band of the descending trend channel.

The price is now approaching the upper band of the channel, but it is struggling to move above a breakpoint and a recent peak at 137.67 and 137.86 respectively.

A clean break above these levels might see the descending line tested and moving above it could indicate the bearish run is pausing or possibly has ended. Further up, resistance might be at the previous highs and breakpoints of 139.90, 142.25, 143.53 and 145.11.

Support could be at the recent low of 133.63 or the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). The recent dip below the 200-day SMA was rejected by the market.

Further down there is a cluster of previous lows and breakpoints that may provide support at 131.74, 131.50, 131.35, 131.25 and 130.40.

130.40 might have more weight from the lower bound of the descending trend channel and the 260-day SMA that are nearby.

EUR/JPY technical analysis

EUR/JPY has recovered from a two-month low seen earlier this month at 140.77, which was just below a previous low at 140.90. These levels might provide support.

That move lower was also unable to penetrate an ascending trend line and it too may provide support, currently intersecting at 141.65.

Further below, support may lie at the previous lows of 137.37, 134.95 and 133.40.

The recovery to higher levels has seen EUR/JPY pop above a descending trend line. Throughout this year, such a break has sometimes seen bullish carry through. It should be noted though that past performance is not indicative of future results.

Topside resistance might be offered at the prior peaks of 146.14, 147.11, 147.72 and 148.40. Resistance could also be offered at the December 2014 peak of 149.79.

This information has been prepared by DailyFX, the partner site of IG offering leading forex news and analysis. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.