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OIL WTI: Majority buy bias drops as longs take profit

Surprise EIA deficit aids oil prices in finishing higher for the session.

Oil Source: Bloomberg

The latest in Oil WTI:

The key item yesterday for oil prices was Energy Information Agency's (EIA) US crude oil inventories release which showed a surprise 1.7M deficit following expectations of a 2.5M surplus and following a 4.45M surplus out of American Petroleum Institute (API) the day before.


Oil WTI Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

That pushed oil prices above its 50-day and 100-day moving averages, and a positive Directional movement Index (DMI) cross occurred. More positive technical bias is forming, and given how closely huddled its indicators are it won’t take much to shift the main technical indicators and produce more signals.

Current Technical Overview Consolidation - Positive Bias
Technical Overview Conformist Strategies Sell 1st Resistance After Reversal, Buy 1st Support At/Before Price
Technical Overview Contrarian Strategies Buy 1st Resistance Upon Breakout From Below, Sell 1st Support Upon Breakout From Above
S/L for 2nd Resistance 58.58
2nd Resistance 58.01
S/L for 1st Resistance 57.45
1st Resistance 56.88
Relative Starting Point 55.75
1st Support 54.62
S/L for 1st Support 54.05
2nd Support 53.49
S/L for 2nd Support 52.92

IG client and CoT sentiment for Oil WTI

Retail longs were in for big profit-taking having waited for weeks at the lows, with retail bias dropping 12% from a heavy long 71% yesterday morning to a majority long 59% as of this morning.

Oil sentiment Source: IG charts
Oil sentiment Source: IG charts

Oil WTI chart with retail and institutional sentiment

Oil Source: IG charts
Oil Source: IG charts

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