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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

What's driving Tesla's share price in the wake of the election?​

Tesla's stock has surged 28% since the US presidential election, driven by regulatory changes and product innovation. Here's what's moving the electric vehicle maker's shares.

Electric car Source: Adobe images

Recent stock performance and market position

In recent trading, Tesla has demonstrated impressive momentum, with its share price climbing 5.6% to close at $338.74. The stock has recorded a notable 28% gain since the November presidential election, outperforming broader market indices. This performance underscores Tesla's continued dominance in the electric vehicle (EV) market, affirming its status as the world's most valuable automaker by market capitalisation, despite intensifying competition from traditional car manufacturers.

Regulatory tailwinds boosting sentiment

Tesla's recent rally has been driven in part by anticipated regulatory changes under the incoming administration. The proposed federal framework for self-driving vehicles is expected to streamline development and testing processes. Additionally, the potential easing of corporate tax regulations and tariffs on EV components has bolstered investor confidence, with positive implications for Tesla's operational efficiency and profit margins. Analysts suggest these regulatory tailwinds could sustain support for Tesla's valuation throughout 2024.

Corporate strategy and financial strength

Tesla has showcased its financial strength through several shareholder-driven initiatives. A significant move includes the announcement of a $1.25 billion share buyback program for fiscal year 2025, signalling management's confidence. Furthermore, Tesla has increased its dividend by 4.5% for FY24, highlighting its commitment to shareholder returns. This progressive dividend policy reflects Tesla's robust cash generation capabilities. According to analysts, Tesla's ability to balance growth investments with shareholder returns sets it apart from other EV manufacturers.

Product innovation driving growth

Tesla continues to lead in product innovation with the unveiling of its Cybercab autonomous vehicle concept. Although production is not expected until 2027, the announcement has generated considerable market interest. Tesla's ongoing investments in battery technology are anticipated to enhance vehicle range and reduce costs, thereby improving the affordability and market accessibility of its products. For investors, understanding Tesla’s innovation pipeline is crucial in assessing its long-term growth prospects.

Market outlook and investment considerations

Looking ahead, Tesla's market leadership in EVs provides a solid foundation for future growth. However, investors should be aware of factors such as increasing competition, potential supply chain disruptions, and economic uncertainties that could impact short-term price movements.

​Tesla stock price – technical analysis

Trump's victory in the US presidential election marked a turning point for Tesla's stock, which surged to a new record high, surpassing resistance around $260. In the short term, the stock appears overstretched and may see further declines towards the prior highs from late September and the $270 range from late October. Nonetheless, the long-term bullish view remains strong, even with a potential retest of the $260 support level.

​Tesla daily chart

Tesla chart Source: IG
Tesla chart Source: IG

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
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