Gold breaches $1,700, oil drops
Oil prices fail to rise despite record OPEC+ output cut.
Gold Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels
After gold prices plummeted to $1,450 last month testing long traders heavily who purchased followed the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) massive monetary stimulus, the precious metal finally recovered to breach the $1,700 level yesterday in a move that briefly went beyond its weekly 1st Resistance level but failed (thus far) to offer much beyond it. It's only the start of the week, and any further weakening in the greenback and/or risk-off moves could aid gold prices in aiming to finish higher following three consecutive trading days of gains.
IG client* and CoT sentiment for Gold
In sentiment, retail bias is still heavy to the long side, but has dropped slightly from 72% to 69%.
Gold chart with retail and institutional sentiment
Silver Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels
While gold prices surged to breach the infamous $1,700 level, silver prices were stuck in relative oscillation with brief moves above the 15.6 level. Its technical overview on the weekly is volatile in the face of increased uncertainty, but the daily overview has shifted to a bull trend albeit stalling on the failure to offer much beyond the key daily pivot point on most days. In terms of the gold/silver spread, gold's outperformance has taken that spread slightly higher but failing to undo what has been a slow undoing of record highs made in the spread in mid-March.
IG client* and CoT sentiment for Silver
Silver chart with retail and institutional sentiment
Oil Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels
Despite a record OPEC+ deal, oil prices finished the session lower, with plenty to worry about including a drop in demand that is greater than the output cut, as well as worries over how well the economy can recover even if talk is shifting towards when lockdowns will end. Any fresh updates on the energy front could take its price beyond its key pivot points, but should prices remain rangebound close to the lows and a technical overview shift could easily occur from volatile to one befitting its current negative viewing with most of its key technical indicators in the red and combined with a trending ADX (Average Directional Index).
IG client* and CoT sentiment for Oil WTI
In sentiment, retail bias is extreme long but has dropped a couple notch to 83%, hurt alongside institutional traders hoping for a move back up.
Oil WTI chart with retail and institutional sentiment
*The percentage of IG client accounts with positions in this market that are currently long or short. Calculated to the nearest 1%, as of today morning 8am.
Be sure to request IG’s Weekly & Daily Market Report when you open an account with IG Dubai and get access to the full information on the FX majors, commodities, indices, and Bitcoin.
This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.
Be ready to respond to the upcoming OPEC meeting
Your guide to how OPEC influences oil prices ahead of its next meeting on 28 May 2025.
- What was decided at the last OPEC meeting?
- Why do OPEC members agree to oil quotas?
- Which countries are members of OPEC?
Live prices on most popular markets
- Forex
- Shares
- Indices
Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.