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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Gold, silver, and oil plummet in volatile session

Retail long bias rises in all three as shorts get tempted into taking profit.

Oil pump Source: Bloomberg

Gold Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

As tempting as it was to view the recent moves in gold as a bull trend technical overview, the increased volatility has meant that pivot points (to the upside or downside) were more easily broken, and in turn conformist breakout strategies for limited profit-taking was more ideal before contrarian reversals came in play, with both yielding results as is the case in volatile movement that witnessed its key pivot points break on more than one occasion. The US dollar a relative underperformer against the FX majors, but at this stage its less of a factor in determining where gold’s price will settle as its technical overview remains volatile.

Gold Technical Indicators Source: IG charts

IG client* and CoT sentiment for Gold

Retail bias at a heavy long 64% yesterday has now risen to a heavier 68% as shorts get enticed into closing out and longs initiate anticipating further gains, yet is still far below that of institutional bias at 88%.

Gold sentiment Source: IG charts

Gold chart with retail and institutional sentiment

Gold Source: IG charts

Silver Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

Silver prices broke through not just yesterday's 1st Support level, but also its 2nd Support level, bouncing off of its Weekly 1st Support level in a clear undoing of its previous bull trend overview that has now shifted to volatile. Buy-on-reversal also failed, as the volatility spread to engulf not just equities and gold, but silver as well which in turn has been in favor of breakout strategies over fading and reversal ones prone to getting stopped out. As it stands, from a technical standpoint, its key technical indicators have shifted from green, and combined with a non-trending ADX (Average Directional Index).

Silver Technical Indicators Source: IG charts

IG client* and CoT sentiment for Silver

In sentiment, retail bias has risen back up to further long extremes standing at 90%.

Silver sentiment Source: IG charts

Silver chart with retail and institutional sentiment

Silver Source: IG charts

Oil WTI Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

Risk-related moves and fears of a slowdown in economic growth (or in some areas downright contraction) have kept the market from providing a floor on oil prices, which suffered yesterday a drop yesterday beyond its 1st Support in a clear conformist sell breakout move. In data, API's (American Petroleum Institute) figure showed a small 1.3M surplus, and EIA (Energy Information Administration) is up next expected to show a similar 2.3M increase, though as always, it’ll be the fundamental effects of the coronavirus and its clear dent to the travel sector and economic growth that will play a larger role for the energy commodity.

Learn more about oil trading.

Oil Technical Indicators Source: IG charts

IG client* and CoT sentiment for Oil WTI

Any downside movement remains painful for both retail and CoT (Commitment of Traders) traders continuing to hold extreme long bias, the former rising 3% to an extreme long 84% and the latter at 78% as per last Friday’s report.

Oil sentiment Source: IG charts

Oil WTI chart with retail and institutional sentiment

Oil Source: IG charts

*The percentage of IG client accounts with positions in this market that are currently long or short. Calculated to the nearest 1%, as of today morning 8am.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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