Wall Street slumps as Federal Reserve continues to raise rates
While the Federal Reserve delivered its fourth straight 75 bps increase on Wednesday, the “slower but higher” prospect saw the S&P 500 suffer its worst loss on a Fed decision day since January 2021.
The highest interest rate in 14 years
The US central bank raised the lending rate by 0.75 percentage points, making it the fourth straight increase of that size and the sixth hike this year.
As expected, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signalled that the journey to curb inflation could be entering the final phase as the pace of future rate increases would consider the “cumulative tightening of monetary policy”.
The Fed’s decision from November’s FOMC meeting lifted rates to a range of 3.75% to 4%, its highest level since 2008.
Fed signals slowing down
According to the board’s statement, the Federal Reserve anticipates that ongoing increases within the target range will return inflation to two percent. Jerome Powell asserted that it was “very premature” to consider pausing rate increases as rates could peak at higher levels than previously thought.
For the first time, the Fed acknowledged the economic costs and "lags" of the policy. That being said, the Fed is unwilling to create a narrative that would suggest they are ‘pivoting’ from reducing inflation pressures.
In other words, while the Fed is considering slowing down the fastest pace of tightening in decades, investors are not in the position to expect the rate to peak and loosen policy any time soon.
Therefore, the economic strain has become the elephant in the room and will come to the forefront in the near future.
How did the market respond?
-
Stocks
While the US stocks started in the positive when Powell announced the new rate decision, things quickly changed. The equity market plunged immediately after he stated the Fed still has “some ways to go”. Powell added that it was premature to think about a pause as rates could peak at higher levels than previously thought.
The “slower but higher” prospect saw the S&P 500 suffer its worst loss on a Fed decision day since January 2021.
S&P 500 hourly chart
US dollar
The US dollar surged by more than 0.5% immediately after FOMC’s press conference. The green back is now returning to the level of 111 while strictly following the ascending trajectory.
Meanwhile, the US’s 10-year bond yield edged higher to 4.08% while the two-year yield reached 4.62%.
US dollar hourly chart
IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign affiliates within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.
The information/research herein is prepared by IG Asia Pte Ltd (IGA) and its foreign affiliated companies (collectively known as the IG Group) and is intended for general circulation only. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently, any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Please see important Research Disclaimer.
Please also note that the information does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Any views and opinions expressed may be changed without an update.
Start trading forex today
Trade the largest and most volatile financial market in the world.
- Spreads start at just 0.6 points on EUR/USD
- Analyse market movements with our essential selection of charts
- Speculate from a range of platforms, including on mobile
Live prices on most popular markets
- Forex
- Shares
- Indices
See more forex live prices
See more shares live prices
Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.
See more indices live prices
Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 20 mins.