Interest rates are a huge part of our financial landscape and affect everything we earn – and owe. Discover what interest rates are, how they work and how you can trade them with us, Singapore’s No.1 platform.1
Institutions that lend out money, like banks and brokerages, typically charge a fee for doing this. The amount you repay on top of your loan amount is called interest. How much interest you’re charged is called the interest rate. Usually, it’s a percentage amount of your borrowed amount (for example, 10%).
In Singapore, the bank rate is the interest rate set by the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS).
All financial institutions take their cue from MAS, many in turn requiring loans from MAS themselves. So, whatever interest rate MAS sets affects the rate at which other banks can borrow from them. This has a ripple effect onto the man in the street, as this rate will partially determine the interest rates banks and other lenders set for customers to adhere to.
The interest rate affects you in a number of ways. Firstly, and most understandably, it affects how much you’ll have to pay for borrowing. For example, if you loan $1,000 and the interest rate is 7%, you’ll repay $1,070. If the interest rate is a higher, say 12.5%, you’ll have to pay back $1,125.
Interest rates affect your savings, too. A higher interest rate means your savings are worth more, while a lower interest rate means savings are worth less.
If you’re an investor or a trader, interest rates will affect these areas as well. Stock prices are sensitive to interest rate changes, as are other asset classes. Property prices, for instance, are often negatively affected by increasing interest rates and positively affected by decreasing ones. Even commodity prices can take a dive during an interest rate hike.
As you can imagine, all of this has a knock-on effect for the economy as a whole. Everything from the price of consumer goods to how fast your nest egg grows will be swayed by interest rates.
There are different types of interest rates, identified by who issues them. They are:
Interest rates come part and parcel with the loan you’ve taken out, or as part of the savings you’ve amassed. In the case of a loan, your total loan repayments plus the calculated interest amount would be divided into a monthly sum for you to pay (as a minimum amount – you can always pay more).
In the case of savings or investments, the interest rate would be the amount that your savings appreciate by each year. Either way, the interest is indivisible from the total amount – and the interest rate is how much that amount grows by.
If you have money stored in a secure facility that has a growth rate each year, such as a longer-term savings facility with your bank, the amount by which your wealth grows is its interest. Essentially, the bank is paying you in interest for keeping your savings in that account with them.
Let’s say, for example, that the growth rate of that particular savings facility is 5%, and you have savings of $1,000. Your savings will accrue by 5% annually from the bank (which would be $50 for the first year), leaving you with $1,050 by the end of the first year.
The same is true for a loan. Let’s say you approach your bank for a home loan of $100,000. If the bank grants you that loan, they’ll charge a certain amount of interest on top of the loan. Among the various types of loans you may acquire, this may be worked out as a fixed amount, a variable amount that depends on economic conditions or a percentage that’s payable annually.
Let’s say you get a fixed loan of $100,000 with a fixed interest rate of 4%, with monthly payments calculated on the length of your loan. If you were to take out the loan for a 50-month period, you wouldn’t only have to pay $2,000 each month ($100,000 divided by 50 months) but an additional 4% of that monthly amount ($80) is payable due to interest. So, you would have $104,000 ($2,080 x 50 months) to repay for the $100,000 loan.
Annual percentage rate (APR) is a charge by lenders that’s different to your interest rate.
A lender, like a bank, will often also charge small additional amounts for services rendered over and above the interest. Examples of this would be a fee for opening the mortgage at the start or closing it when the loan term is up, or broker fees.
For this reason, lenders advertise an APR rate, which gives you the total cost of both the interest and any of these additional payments in one amount. It’s often a more accurate way of depicting the true cost of your loan, without any hidden fees.
Compound interest is a wealth generation phenomenon, where your interest on savings begin to earn interest. This ‘interest on top of interest’ means that your money continues to grow itself.
Let’s look at our previous example to illustrate this. If you have $1,000 in a savings facility where the interest means it grows by 5% per annum, that would be $50 for the first year. However, this doesn’t mean your savings grow by a static $50 each year – instead, in your second year, your amount will grow by 5% of $1,050, which is $52.50. In the third year, you’d earn 5% interest on $1,102.50. By the end of the tenth year, your $1,000 would’ve grown by more than 50%, to over $1,600.
As you can imagine, this has a snowball effect and gets exponentially bigger over longer periods of time.
Compound interest works the other way, too. If you were to take out a loan of $2,000 with an interest rate that compounded 20% annually, after just three years, the total payable amount would be $3,456 – almost double your loan amount – as 20% of the total keeps growing in size with each year.
Interest rates are decided by the central banks, whose decision have a trickle-down effect to the lenders and their clients. Central banks set a target interest rate depending on a number of macroeconomic factors.
For example, in a period of depressed economic growth (such as during the Covid-19 pandemic), central banks may keep interest rates flat or cut the interest rate, to encourage more consumer spending and saving in a financially difficult time. This is known as a ‘dovish’ stance. Interest hikes can occur in a time when the economy is picking up, which is known as a ‘hawkish’ stance.
Other factors include:
On a surface level, a higher interest rate will mean more profit for investors, as the rate at which their investments grow is accelerated.
For traders, however, this goes deeper, as the very conditions around changing interest rates are waves and swells in the market that can be traded for profit – or at a loss. A sudden change in interest rate stance can lead to volatility in the marketplace, which can be an opportunity to trade.
For this reason, many traders and investors watch interest rates and the discussions around them with great interest and attention.
You can trade on interest rates directly by predicting at key times on whether interest rates will go up or down. This can be done with derivative products like contracts for difference (CFDs), and can be done on our platform.
However, taking a position on interest rates is a complex and risky form of trading that comes with inherent potential loss. Also, CFDs are leveraged financial products. You would put down an initial deposit to open a larger position, with both profits and losses being calculated on the total position size. This means that leveraged products carry inherent risk of your losses or profits substantially outweighing your initial deposit.2
Interest rates often have a knock-on effect on stocks. A lower interest rate could mean higher earnings from stocks, as businesses spend more in the more dovish environment. As people spend more, investors and traders spend more on stocks. This, in turn, can drive the price of those stocks up – which could drive the price of indices up, creating a virtuous circle where stock prices keep increasing.
The opposite can be said of a more hawkish environment. With many tightening their belts, including businesses and those buying or trading the stocks of those businesses, less money is spent. Enough people not buying or trading stocks can, in turn, drive the price of stocks down, both for individual companies and collectively.
Bonds, meanwhile, have a very different relationship to interest rates. Generally, when interest rates rise, bond prices fall and vice versa.
Because the amount of interest a bond can yield is partially affected by the interest rate, a lower interest rate will decrease the yield of a bond coming out now. However, there are always multiple bonds in circulation and a bond issued at the time of higher interest rate (thereby giving higher yield) will suddenly become more popular, further driving up that bond’s price due to its popularity.
In this way, lower interest rates drive down bond yields but can drive up bond prices – and the opposite is true for a higher interest rate.
Who sets interest rates?
Interest rates are set at a national level by the central banks, which will inform the interest rates charged by lending institutions like local or regional banks.
How are interest rates calculated?
The central banks, like MAS, set interest rates – but where do they get them from? MAS decides on the interest rate, led by a host of factors such as inflation levels (keeping the interest rate consistent with CPI) and what state the economy is in. Ultimately, lowering interest rates in tough times hopes to encourage consumer spending and saving to bolster flagging economies.
Banks and other lenders will then calculate their interest rates based on the rate set by MAS (this is called the bank rate) plus an additional amount in to make a profit.
How can you work out how much interest you would earn?
If you know the rate at which you’re earning interest, you can figure out how much interest you’d earn. Take the amount in your savings or investment and multiply that by the interest rate percentage, then multiply that figure by the period of time the amount would be earning the interest for.
Say, for example, you have $1,000 worth of savings, which is earning a 5% interest rate over a period of ten years. The total interest amount would be $500 ($1,000 x 0.05 x 10).
How can you profit from interest rate changes?
You can make a profit (or loss) from the changes in interest rates in a number of ways. You can trade interest rates directly with us via CFDs, where you can predict whether the interest rate will rise or fall.
Just remember that a CFD is leveraged financial product, meaning that you’ll put down a small deposit to open a larger position, with both profits and losses calculated on the full trade size. This means that losses and profits can substantially outweigh your deposit amount, so always ensure that you’re trading within your means and managing your risk.2
Since the bond market has an inverse relationship with the interest rate, you can also trade or invest in bonds when you believe the interest rate will change. A rising interest rate means dropping bond prices and an interest rate cut usually means a rise in bond values.
Another way to take advantage of the interest rate is simply through saving. When the interest rate goes up, so does your savings’ potential to compound its interest and make you more money over time.
1 Winner for Mobile Platform / App based on the Investment Trends 2018 Singapore CFD & FX Report based on a survey of over 4,500 traders and investors. Winner for Education Materials / Programmes based on the Investment Trends 2021 Singapore Leverage Trading Report. Awarded the Best Online Trading Platform by Influential Brands in 2019 and 2022. Winner of FX Markets Asia FX Awards 2021 - Best Retail FX Platform. Awarded the best forex provider in Singapore by the Global Brands Magazine in 2023 and 2024. Awarded Best Forex Trading Support - Asia by Global Forex Awards 2021 – Retail. Winner for Best Trading App based on the Investors Chronicle and Financial Times Investment and Wealth Management Awards 2018, and the Professional Trader Awards 2019.
2 CFD trading involves high risk. That’s because leverage can magnify both your profits and your losses as they’ll be based on the full exposure to the trade, not just the initial margin deposit required to open it. This means losses as well as profits could far outweigh your margin, so always ensure you’re trading within your means.
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