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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
 Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

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Bank of England and European Central Bank preview

This week’s meetings of the BoE and ECB will be those of banks content to sit and await developments for the time being.

Chris Beauchamp

Chris Beauchamp
Chief Market Analyst, London

Publication date : 2018-09-11T13:08:34+0100

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Bank of England to hold fast

No change is expected this time around from the Bank of England (BoE), having undertaken to hike rates last month. The mantra from the BoE remains ‘limited’ and ‘gradual’ when it comes to rate rises, following the path set by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

Recent purchasing managers index (PMI) figures from the UK have been better for the construction and services sectors, but manufacturing remains under pressure. Wage data and gross domestic product (GDP) figures, however, have picked up, so it is not all doom and gloom where the UK economy is concerned.

But all this is a sideshow compared to Brexit. Until this uncertainty is removed the outlook remains clouded, and interest rates are likely to stay low, if not unchanged, as a result. With the outlook for monetary policy muted sterling’s main driver will be the Brexit headlines.

Bank of England meeting

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ECB stays the course

Here too, ‘no change’ is still the order of the day. The bank continues to expect an orderly exit from its quantitative easing (QE) programme, with the ructions caused by the Italian government yet to have an impact. It looks very unlikely that the European Central Bank (ECB) will make any adjustments to its programme in order to appease Rome.

GDP and inflation projections will remain unchanged, although one point to watch will be core inflation projections, which ING thinks are currently subject to ‘extreme optimism’ regarding a move to 1.9% from the current 1%.

Barring a major change, the bank will hold fast at this meeting, sticking with the plan to end QE by the end of the year. The bank will stress it remains alive to threats to the outlook, but a steady approach remains the likely outcome of this meeting, and indeed others later in 2018.

European Central Bank meeting

Learn about the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council announcement – including how it affects the European economy and financial markets.

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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. 

Professional clients trading spread bets and CFDs can lose more than they deposit.

Options and futures are complex instruments which come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. They’re not suitable for most investors. Before you invest, you should consider whether you understand how options and futures work, the risks of trading these instruments and whether you can afford to lose more than your original investment.

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