The Week Ahead
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Week commencing 3 November
Chris Beauchamp insight
It is another busy week for global markets, though it doesn’t quite live up to the manic pace set in the preceding week. US ISM data plus rate decisions from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and Bank of England (BoE) dominate the week. The continued US government shutdown means that Friday’s scheduled payroll report remains in doubt, though the private sector ADP report is still being published.
UK corporate data is plentiful, including energy giant BP, supermarket Sainsbury’s and pharmaceuticals group AstraZeneca. In the US Palantir and McDonald’s report earnings, along with ConocoPhillips.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
1.45am – China RatingDog manufacturing purchasing managers index (PMI) (October): expected to fall to 50.8 from 51.2. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses
3pm – US ISM manufacturing PMI (October): forecast to rise to 49.9 from 49.1. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30am – RBA rate decision: rates expected to be held at 3.6%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
3pm – US JOLTS survey (September): job openings expected to decline to 7.2 million. Markets to watch: USD crosses
1.45am – China RatingDog services PMI (October): expected to fall to 52.3 from 52.9. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.15pm – US ADP employment report (October): 15,000 jobs expected to have been added, after last month’s 32,000 loss. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm – US ISM services PMI (October): index expected to rise to 50.2 from 50. Markets to watch: USD crosses
9.30am – UK construction PMI (October): index expected to fall to 46 from 46.2. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
12pm – BoE rate decision: while some banks have said a 25bps cut is now likely, consensus still thinks rates will be held at 4%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (October): index expected to fall to 55 from 59.8. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
3am – China trade data (September): exports expected to rise 7.3% year-on-year (YoY). Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US non-farm payrolls (NFPs) (October): this report may be released, though the government shutdown might still prevent any data from being collected. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
1.30pm – Canada unemployment rate (October): expected to rise to 7.2% from 7.1%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Monday
1.45am – China RatingDog manufacturing PMI (October): expected to fall to 50.8 from 51.2. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses
3pm – US ISM manufacturing PMI (October): forecast to rise to 49.9 from 49.1. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Tuesday
3.30am – RBA rate decision: rates expected to be held at 3.6%. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
3pm – US JOLTS survey (September): job openings expected to decline to 7.2 million. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Wednesday
1.45am – China RatingDog services PMI (October): expected to fall to 52.3 from 52.9. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.15pm – US ADP employment report (October): 15,000 jobs expected to have been added, after last month’s 32,000 loss. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
3pm – US ISM services PMI (October): index expected to rise to 50.2 from 50. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Thursday
9.30am – UK construction PMI (October): index expected to fall to 46 from 46.2. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
12pm – BoE rate decision: while some banks have said a 25bps cut is now likely, consensus still thinks rates will be held at 4%. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
3pm – Canada Ivey PMI (October): index expected to fall to 55 from 59.8. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Friday
3am – China trade data (September): exports expected to rise 7.3% YoY. Markets to watch: CNH crosses
1.30pm – US NFPs (October): this report may be released, though the government shutdown might still prevent any data from being collected. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
1.30pm – Canada unemployment rate (October): expected to rise to 7.2% from 7.1%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Company announcements
Monday |
Tuesday |
Wednesday 5 November |
Thursday |
Friday |
|
Full-year earnings |
Spirax |
|
|
||
Half/ Quarterly earnings |
BP, |
International Airlines Group (IAG),
|
|||
| Trading update | International Workspace Group |
IMI, OSB, |
Dividends
FTSE ex-dividend dates (6 November):
FTSE 100: Unilever, Airtel Africa, HSBC
FTSE 250: ME Group, Genus, Ashmore, Galliford Try, Tritax Big Box, Bytes Technology, Softcat, Goodwin
Index adjustments
|
Monday 3 November |
Tuesday 4 November |
Wednesday 5 November |
Thursday 6 November |
Friday 7 November |
Monday 10 November |
| FTSE 100 | 9.64 | |||||
| Australia 200 | 9.1 | 0.1 | 8.6 | |||
| Wall Street | 11.9 | |||||
| US 500 | 0.07 | 0.03 | 0.05 | 0.72 | 0.83 | |
| Nasdaq 100 | 0.30 | 0.51 | 3.28 | |||
| Netherlands 25 | 1.13 | |||||
| US Russell 2000 | 0.14 | 0.04 | 0.12 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.00 |
| China H-Shares | 1.5 | |||||
| Japan 225 | ||||||
| Hong Kong HS50 | 15.9 | 6.4 | ||||
| South Africa 40 | ||||||
| France 40 | ||||||
| Stoxx 600 | 2.5 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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