US dollar winning streak extends, now what?
The US dollar mostly extended gains against ASEAN currencies; the Thai baht, Indonesian rupiah and Philippine peso are at risk and the Singapore dollar is putting up more of a fight but will resistance break?
Thai baht technical outlook – bullish
The US dollar roared higher against the Thai baht last week, with USD/THB pushing its highest rate since March 2017. Moreover, the pair took out the critical 34.759 – 34.850 resistance zone, placing the focus on the midpoint of the Fibonacci extension at 35.426 next. Further gains would subsequently expose the 61.8% and 78.5% extensions at 35.751 and 36.215 respectively. Otherwise, a turn lower could see the 50-day Simple Moving Average hold as support.
USD/THB daily chart
Indonesian rupiah technical outlook – bullish
The US dollar also gained against the Indonesian rupiah, extending gains since late May. USD/IDR confirmed a breakout above the May high at 14730. Now, the pair is fast approaching highs from September 2020. The latter makes for a key zone of resistance between 14915 and 14975. In the event of a turn lower, the 20- and 50-period SMAs could hold as key support, maintaining the broader focus to the upside.
USD/IDR daily chart
Philippine peso technical outlook – bullish
The US dollar appreciated against the Philippine peso last week, extending gains since early April. Immediate resistance appears to be the 100% Fibonacci extension at 53.89. Beyond the latter is the 2018 high at 54.43. Should prices turn lower, immediate support appears to be the 78.6% Fibonacci extension at 53.307. Under that are the 20- and 50-period SMAs. The latter could hold as support, continuing the broader upside bias.
USD/PHP daily chart
Singapore dollar technical outlook – slightly bullish
The US dollar consolidated against the Singapore dollar last week. USD/SGD rejected the 1.3946 – 1.3986 resistance zone, pivoting lower. However, the pair was unable to get far. A bullish Golden Cross remains in play between the 50- and 100-day SMAs, offering an upside technical bias. Clearing resistance would offer a stronger bullish bias, placing the focus on the 61.8% Fibonacci extension at 1.4017. Otherwise, extending losses would bring the pair closer to the May low at 1.3660.
USD/SGD daily chart
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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Australia Pty Ltd. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
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