The Week Ahead
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Week commencing 25 November
Chris Beauchamp's insight
US core personal consumption expenditures (PCE) prices and the German IFO index are some of the main events to watch, while on the corporate front US earnings season has begun to wind down following Nvidia’s figures. Budget airline easyJet will be the main UK stock reporting. The US Thanksgiving holiday means that it will be a quiet week from Wednesday onwards.
Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
9am – German IFO business climate index (November): October reading 86.5. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – Chicago Fed index (October): index expected to rise to -0.15 from -0.28. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3pm – US consumer confidence (November): index forecast to rise to 110 from 108.7. Markets to watch: USD crosses
7pm - Federal Reserve bank (Fed) minutes. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
1.30pm – US PCE index, durable goods orders (Oct) initial jobless claims (w/e 23 Nov): PE price index expected to be 0.2% Month on month (MoM) and 2.2% Year over year (YoY), from 0.2% and 2.1%. Durable goods orders (excluding transportation orders) forecast to rise to 0.6% from 0.4%. Claims expected to rise to 215K from 213K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (November): forecast to rise to 44 from 41.6. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 22 November): stockpiles rose by 545K barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thanksgiving – US markets closed
1pm – German inflation (November, preliminary): prices forecast to rise 1.9% YoY from 2%, and 0.3% from 0.4% MoM. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
10am – eurozone inflation (November, flash): prices forecast to rise 2.1% YoY and 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – Canada gross domestic product (GDP) quarter 3 (Q3): Quarter over quarter (QoQ) rate expected to slow to 0.4% from 0.5%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Monday
9am – German IFO business climate index (November): October reading 86.5. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – Chicago Fed index (October): index expected to rise to -0.15 from -0.28. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Tuesday
3pm – US consumer confidence (November): index forecast to rise to 110 from 108.7. Markets to watch: USD crosses
7pm - Fed minutes. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
Wednesday
1.30pm – US PCE index, durable goods orders (Oct) initial jobless claims (w/e 23 Nov): PE price index expected to be 0.2% MoM and 2.2% YoY, from 0.2% and 2.1%. Durable goods orders (excluding transportation orders) forecast to rise to 0.6% from 0.4%. Claims expected to rise to 215K from 213K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (November): forecast to rise to 44 from 41.6. Markets to watch: USD crosses
3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 22 November): stockpiles rose by 545K barrels in the preceding week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
Thanksgiving – US markets closed
1pm – German inflation (November, preliminary): prices forecast to rise 1.9% YoY from 2%, and 0.3% from 0.4% MoM. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
Friday
10am – eurozone inflation (November, flash): prices forecast to rise 2.1% YoY and 0.3% MoM. Markets to watch: EUR crosses
1.30pm – Canada GDP (Q3): QoQ rate expected to slow to 0.4% from 0.5%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE 100: Imperial Brands, Marks & Spencer, United Utilities, 3i, Land Securities, Severn Trent
FTSE 250: Hill & Smith, Bellway, Alliance Witan, Worldwide Healthcare Trust, Oxford Instruments, AVI Global, FirstGroup, Ithaca Energy
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
|
Monday 25 November |
Tuesday 26 November |
Wednesday 27 November |
Thursday 28 November |
Friday 29 November |
Monday 2 December |
FTSE 100 | 4.38 | 0.2 | ||||
Australia 200 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.4 | |
Wall Street | 7.6 | 13.8 | 3.0 | 31.8 | ||
US 500 | 0.41 | 0.37 | 0.60 | 0.70 | 0.19 | |
Nasdaq | 1.42 | 0.94 | 1.47 | |||
Netherlands 25 | ||||||
EU Stocks 50 | 2.0 | |||||
China H-Shares | 0.6 | 0.4 | ||||
Singapore Blue Chip | 0.07 | |||||
Hong Kong HS50 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.1 | |||
South Africa 40 | 24.5 | |||||
Italy 40 | ||||||
Japan 225 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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With 50 years of experience, we’re proud to offer a truly market-leading service