The Week Ahead
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Week commencing 10 March
Chris Beauchamp insight
US consumer price index (CPI) will be the dominant event of the week, at least in terms of scheduled events. Pricing for more rate cuts in the US has risen substantially in recent weeks, and a softer set of numbers may well see the chances of an earlier rate cut rise further. But we suspect that the real driver of markets will be more announcements from the US administration, which appears to be changing its policy daily.

Economic reports
- Monday
- Tuesday
- Wednesday
- Thursday
- Friday
- Weekly view
11.30pm – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (March): index expected to fall to 92 from 92.2. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
None
12.30pm – US CPI (February): inflation expected to fall to 0.3% from 0.5%, and 2.9% from 3% YoY (year-on-year). Core CPI expected to weaken to 0.3% from 0.4% MoM and 3.1% from 3.3%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
1.45pm – Bank of Canada rate decision: rates expected to be cut to 2.75% from 3%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
2.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 7 March): stockpiles rose by 3.6 million barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
12.30pm – US producer price index (PPI) (February), initial jobless claims (w/e 8 March): prices forecast to rise 0.3% MoM (month-on-month) from 0.4%, claims expected to rise to 230K from 221K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
7am – UK GDP (January): expected to rise to 0.3% for three months to end of January. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
2pm – US Michigan consumer sentiment (March, preliminary): index expected to fall to 63.2 from 64.7. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Monday
11.30pm – Australia Westpac consumer confidence (March): index expected to fall to 92 from 92.2. Markets to watch: AUD crosses
Tuesday
None
Wednesday
12.30pm – US CPI (February): inflation expected to fall to 0.3% from 0.5%, and 2.9% from 3% YoY. Core CPI expected to weaken to 0.3% from 0.4% MoM and 3.1% from 3.3%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses
1.45pm – Bank of Canada rate decision: rates expected to be cut to 2.75% from 3%. Markets to watch: CAD crosses
2.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 7 March): stockpiles rose by 3.6 million barrels in the previous week. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI
Thursday
12.30pm – US PPI (February), initial jobless claims (w/e 8 March): prices forecast to rise 0.3% MoM from 0.4%, claims expected to rise to 230K from 221K. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Friday
7am – UK GDP (January): expected to rise to 0.3% for three months to end of January. Markets to watch: GBP crosses
2pm – US Michigan consumer sentiment (March, preliminary): index expected to fall to 63.2 from 64.7. Markets to watch: USD crosses
Company announcements
Dividends
FTSE 100: Endeavour Mining, NatWest, Anglo American, Entain
FTSE 250: Safestore, Dunelm, Tritax Big Box
Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.
Index adjustments
|
Monday 10 March |
Tuesday 11 March |
Wednesday 12 March |
Thursday 13 March |
Friday 14 March |
Monday 17 March |
FTSE 100 | 6.04 | |||||
Australia 200 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 1.1 |
Wall Street | 0.1 | 16.6 | 3.1 | 5.0 | ||
US 500 | 0.06 | 0.12 | 0.51 | 1.14 | 0.40 | 0.20 |
Nasdaq | 0.13 | 0.95 | 3.30 | 0.18 | ||
Netherlands 25 | ||||||
EU Stocks 50 | ||||||
China H-Shares | 0.3 | |||||
Singapore Blue Chip | ||||||
Hong Kong HS50 | 11.5 | 2.4 | 0.6 | |||
South Africa 40 | 167.7 | |||||
Italy 40 | ||||||
Japan 225 | 0.6 |
* Please note these can change without notice
1 Dividend adjustments due to be posted on a bank holiday will usually be posted on the previous working day
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