Dollar strength drives EUR/USD and GBP/USD lower but possible FX intervention sees yen strengthen
More good US data drove the dollar higher yesterday, but the Japanese Ministry of Finance appears to have moved to strengthen the yen following a test of the ¥150.00 level.
EUR/USD at new 2023 low
EUR/USD pushed to a fresh low for the year, though declines slowed after Monday’s sharp losses.
Sellers remain firmly in charge, after reasserting control on Monday. The next possible areas of support may lie around $1.035 and then $1.029. In the short term, any rebound may be capped by trendline resistance from the July peak.
A close above $1.055 might suggest that a short-term low is in place.
GBP/USD pushes on towards $1.20
A similar picture prevails here with GBP/USD, as hawkish commentary from the Federal Reserve (Fed) officials revived the long dollar trade.
We have seen daily stochastics turn lower from low levels, indicating firm bearish momentum. Further declines would target $1.196, and then down to $1.183.
Buyers will need a close back above $1.22 to indicate that a low could be in place in the short term. This is where Friday’s bounce stalled as selling pressure revived.
USD/JPY drops back from ¥150.00
‘Verbal’ intervention on USD/JPY prompted a swift drop on Tuesday, but without the backing of actual cash the impact was short lived.
Nonetheless, Tuesday’s move was a signal that Tokyo is poised to intervene to halt the yen’s weakness, at least temporarily. The uptrend is still firmly intact, but the risk of volatility has surged. A close below ¥148.00 could signal the beginning of a short-term pullback.
A firm move above ¥150.00 would likely trigger a move from the Japanese Ministry of Finance to prop up the yen.
This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.
Start trading forex today
Find opportunity on the world’s most-traded – and most-volatile – financial market.
- Trade spreads from just 0.6 points on EUR/USD
- Analyse with clear, fast charts
- Speculate wherever you are with our intuitive mobile apps
See an FX opportunity?
Try a risk-free trade in your demo account, and see whether you’re onto something.
- Log in to your demo
- Take your position
- See whether your hunch pays off
See an FX opportunity?
Don’t miss your chance – upgrade to a live account to take advantage.
- Get spreads from just 0.6 points on popular pairs
- Analyse and deal seamlessly on fast, intuitive charts
- See and react to breaking news in-platform
See an FX opportunity?
Don’t miss your chance. Log in to take your position.
Live prices on most popular markets
- Equities
- Indices
- Forex
- Commodities
Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All share prices are delayed by at least 15 minutes.
Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.
