Where to next for USD/JPY, GBP/JPY and GBP/USD following BoE and BoJ rate decisions?
Outlook on USD/JPY, GBP/JPY and GBP/USD as US dollar is on track for its tenth straight week of gains.
USD/JPY puts pressure on its ten-month high
There is no stopping USD/JPY's advance as the US dollar is on track for its tenth consecutive week of gains amid the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish pause while the Bank of Japan (BoJ) rigorously holds onto its dovish stance. The central bank stuck to its short-term interest rate at -0.1% and that of the ten-year bond yields at around 0% at this morning’s monetary policy meeting.
USD/JPY is fast approaching its ten-month high at ¥148.46, made on Thursday. A rise above this level would put the ¥150.00 region back on the cards, around which the BoJ may intervene, though.
Immediate upside pressure will be maintained while USD/JPY stays above its July-to-September uptrend line at ¥147.51 and Thursday’s low at ¥147.33. While this minor support area underpins, the July-to-September uptrend remains intact.
GBP/JPY tries to recover from six-week lows
GBP/JPY accelerated to the downside as the Bank of England (BoE) kept its rates steady at Thursday’s monetary policy meeting and hit a six-week low at ¥180.81, close to the August low at ¥180.46.
On Friday the cross is trying to bounce off the ¥180.81 low as the BoJ also kept its rates unchanged and reiterated its dovish stance while the annual inflation rate in Japan edged down to 3.2% in August, its lowest in three months.
Good resistance can be spotted between the mid-September low at ¥182.52 and the 55-day simple moving average (SMA) at ¥183.04.
GBP/USD trades in six-month lows
Following the BoE decision to keep rates steady at 5.25% the British pound continued its descent to six month lows versus the greenback.
GBP/USD fall through Thursday’s $1.2235 low would target the mid-March high and 24 March low at $1.2004 to $1.2191.
Minor resistance now sits at the $1.2309 May low and significantly further up along the 200-day SMA at $1.2435. While remaining below it, the bearish trend stays firmly entrenched.
This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.
Start trading forex today
Find opportunity on the world’s most-traded – and most-volatile – financial market.
- Trade spreads from just 0.6 points on EUR/USD
- Analyse with clear, fast charts
- Speculate wherever you are with our intuitive mobile apps
See an FX opportunity?
Try a risk-free trade in your demo account, and see whether you’re onto something.
- Log in to your demo
- Take your position
- See whether your hunch pays off
See an FX opportunity?
Don’t miss your chance – upgrade to a live account to take advantage.
- Get spreads from just 0.6 points on popular pairs
- Analyse and deal seamlessly on fast, intuitive charts
- See and react to breaking news in-platform
See an FX opportunity?
Don’t miss your chance. Log in to take your position.
Live prices on most popular markets
- Equities
- Indices
- Forex
- Commodities
Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All share prices are delayed by at least 15 minutes.
Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.