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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD

Dollar strength across the board sees recent moves unwound, yet how long can this move last?

Pound and dollar
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD pullback begins to flat line

EUR/USD has been pulling back from key resistance this week, with the pair in retracement phase following a sharp move higher in late June. Whether this is a deep or shallow retracement is not yet known, but we are seeing tentative signals that the sell-off may already be over.

Despite the continued creation of lower highs and lower lows on an intraday basis, we have seen a failure to break lower once more this morning, with the pair now seeking a new high through $1.1368. However, it would be a break and hourly close above $1.1377 that would hold most value, providing a strong bullish signal. For the short term at least. A break back below $1.1336 would point towards continued downside for the pair.

EUR/USD price chart

GBP/USD continues to decline

GBP/USD is breaking lower once more this morning, perhaps providing a clue that this will also happen across on EUR/USD. This four-hour chart provides a more top level view, highlighting that while the break through $1.2978 last week points towards further gains, we could see a decent pullback first.

With that in mind, further downside is expected for now, but watch for a potential move into the deeper retracements for long positions to come back into play.

GBP/USD price chart

AUD/USD looks set for next leg lower

AUD/USD has been selling off sharply since its move into trendline resistance last week, with a dovish Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) certainly helping the decline. We have seen a brief period of respite, yet it appears that we could be set for another leg lower from here.

Bear in mind that a break below $0.7535 would be crucial for this bearish short-term picture to become more long-lasting. However, for now it looks like we could see further downside, with the 76.4% retracement and previous support structure around $0.7577 the initial area of support to watch.

AUD/USD price chart

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