Skip to content

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD

The dollar is in charge this week, with EUR/USD and GBP/USD falling amid gains for the USD/CAD pair. However, with the release of jobs data this afternoon, what levels should we watch?

Canada dollar
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD breaks into new low

EUR/USD managed to break lower once more overnight, with a fall below the $1.1696 level providing a continuation signal of the recent downtrend. With that in mind, further downside is likely. However, with trendline support in view, it makes sense to await a potential retracement of yesterday’s drop before looking for shorts once more.

With the pair trading in a falling wedge, there is a good chance that the eventual breakout will come towards the upside. However, for that to come into play we would need to see a break up through $1.1788.

EUR/USD chart

GBP/USD descent continues apace

GBP/USD has dropped sharply over the past week, with the support level of $1.3154 being broken to provide a wider bearish outlook. This points towards further downside over the medium term. However, for now this market is in a tricky place for traders. New positions would have to contend with the potential of a retracement of the fall from the last swing high of $1.3292.

As such, the best bet for shorts is to wait for a continuation pattern and utilise that to obtain a closer stop. As such, while further downside seems likely, it makes sense to await a pullback or continuation pattern to place positions.  

GBP/USD chart

USD/CAD spikes higher from trendline confluence

USD/CAD has broken higher following a pullback into a confluence of trendline and Fibonacci support. This keeps the recent uptrend alive, with the pair heading towards the crucial $1.2663 resistance level. Given the rather extended nature of this move, we could start to retrace again before long. However, unless we break below $1.2449, such a pullback would be expected to represent a buying opportunity.

With both US and Canadian jobs data released in the afternoon, volatility is expected to ramp up sharply. With that in mind, keep an eye out for the $1.263 level, which if broken, would lead to a wider bullish reversal signal. 

USD/CAD chart

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Find articles by writer