Skip to content

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY

The French election has given risk assets and the euro a boost across the FX markets. Will this mark the beginning of a strong move for the likes of the yen and euro, or is it just short term?

Euro notes
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD breaks higher after election result

EUR/USD has gone up this morning, after the French election pitted Emmanuel Macron against Marine Le Pen. While this was widely speculated, Macron is the strongest candidate for other candidates’ voters to rally around, thus bringing a high likeliness that France will remain in the EU.

Looking at the chart, initial EUR/USD gains have faded somewhat. The price is now returning upwards, with the $1.0899 level key to proving that we have further upside to come. It is worth noting that we need to see a break through $1.0906 to continue the wider uptrend that has been in place since the beginning of 2017.

EUR/USD price chart

GBP/USD looks primed for next move higher

GBP/USD has been gradually drifting lower since Tuesday’s high, following a bullish breakout from a long term symmetrical triangle. Given that triangle breakout, alongside the recent price action utilising the key $1.2775 historical resistance level as support, it looks like we are set for another move higher.

Look out for a break through trendline and 1$.2862 for a bullish breakout signal. 

GBP/USD price chart

USD/JPY rally could bring selling opportunity

USD/JPY has seen a sharp jump at the open of trade this week, with markets moving out of risk assets such as the yen. However, looking at this chart from a wider perspective, we have a clear downtrend in play since the turn of the year.

With that in mind, there is a good chance that this rally could hit the buffers, with the 70-76.4% retracement zone looking particularly interesting for shorts. So far the 61.8% retracement marks the top of this morning’s trade, yet further short term upside is likely to come into play to provide a better selling opportunity. We would need to break through ¥111.58 to negate the bearish medium term view.

USD/JPY price chart

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Find articles by writer