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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY

Dollar weakness is prompting some interesting moves in FX, after Fed minutes proved to be less hawkish than some had hoped. 

Dollar and yen
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD needs to break $1.1850 to overturn bearish momentum

EUR/USD holds above $1.1714, with dips below this level continuing to bring out the buyers over the past week or so.

Momentum indicators remain bearish on the daily chart, while on the four-hour chart, we can see that the downtrend from the 3 August high remains in place. It will need a push above the $1.1850 area to break this. 

EUR/USD price chart

GBP/USD with a chance to return to $1.30

Fans of trendlines will be delighted by the current price action in GBP/USD, which has run straight into the rising trendline that has held since March. Thus we can see that any move below this and the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1.2865 would mark a more bearish development, but the bulls now have a chance to push the pair back to $1.30 and higher.

Below the trendline, $1.2775 and then $1.2706 are potential areas of support.

GBP/USD price chart

USD/JPY sees August gains disappear

Gains for USD/JPY in August so far have petered out below the ¥111 level, while ¥109 has acted to hold back any further downside.

Bulls will need to post a daily close above ¥111, which would then open the way to the 200-day SMA at ¥112.53, and then ¥114.37. Meanwhile, a loss of ¥109 would then open the path to ¥108.13 and ¥107.45.

USD/JPY price chart

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