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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Nearmap share price collapses as company issues downgrade

We examine Nearmap’s just released Market Update – covering the first-half of FY20.

Nearmap share price Source: Bloomberg

Nearmap share price dives on Market Update

Small stocks tend to be more volatile than their large-cap counterparts – especially when it comes to news – good or bad.

Maybe such a phenomenon is no better illustrated than by Nearmap’s (ASX: NEA) price action today. Here, the company’s share price collapsed as much as 24.69% – to $1.84 per share – after management downgraded its Group Annualised Contract Value (ACV) forecasts for FY20.

Though a negative trading day, Nearmap's Chief Executive Officer and Managing Director, Dr Rob Newman remained upbeat, maintaining that:

'Nearmap has established a unique position in the location intelligence market and we will continue to build our leadership position through innovation and world-leading technology that addresses a diverse range of customer needs.’

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Contract figures in focus

Nearmap (ASX: NEA) today reported Annualised Contract Value (ACV) for the group of $96.6 million, across the first-half of FY20 – representing a 23% increase on the previous corresponding period.

Looking at the breakdown of these top-line figures, we see that Nearmap's North American (NA) segment continues to tout robust growth, contributing US$24.9 million to the group’s overall ACV figures – and representing a 41% uptick on the previous corresponding period.

Though exhibiting slower growth, the ANZ region continues to be the largest contributor to NEA's ACV – contributing $61.0 million in the first-half – equating to an increase of 14% on the previous corresponding period.

Finally, the company argued that its first-half results were 'impacted by the inability to close an expected significant partnership deal due to the partner's budget constraints.'

A weaker outlook

Ultimately, it was likely Nearmap’s revised ACV guidance that contributed to today’s pessimistic sell-down.

Here, the company noted that it now expected a FY20 group Annualised Contract Value of between $102 million to $110 million. The company had previously guided for full-year ACV figures of $116 million to $120 million.

Though the market reacted negatively to today’s business update, the company attempted to reassure investors, arguing that it still expects to deliver ACV growth in the 20-40% range – on a year-over-year basis. Not only that, but Nearmap noted that it expects ‘churn’ to 'be managed below 10%, outside of the one-off events outlined previously.'

Speaking of the broader outlook, Nearmap’s CEO, Dr Newman argued that:

'The fundamentals of our business model remain firmly intact and we are confident on the outlook for the medium to long-term, notwithstanding that performance in 1H20 showed that at our current scale, our performance can be impacted by a small number of larger customers.'

Positively at least, Nearmap's CEO noted that as the company scales, 'the potential for a small number of customers to impact our results will become less as we grow.'

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