Trading volatility: UK CPI
There are three potential swing points for sterling in the week ahead: jobs data, retail sales and consumer price inflation.
The CPI data, for December, could be the big one. The question is whether it will show, like we have recently seen in the States, that it’s no longer falling. IGTV’s Jeremy Naylor looks at the potential upside for GBP/USD.
(AI Video Summary)
GBP/USD analysis
Next week, there will be some important information about GBP/USD - how the British pound is doing compared to the US dollar. This information could affect how much the pound is worth and could make trading more exciting. On Tuesday, they will release the unemployment rate for November. This number tells us how many people in the UK were without a job during that month. It's important to know this because it gives us an idea of how strong the UK economy is. If more people are finding jobs, it means the economy is doing well. However, some sectors are struggling to find workers with the right skills. This could cause problems in the future.
December UK CPI to come
Then on Wednesday, there will be information about the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December. This is the most important information of the week. The CPI shows us how much prices have been going up or down in the UK. The Bank of England pays close attention to the CPI because it helps them make decisions about what to do with interest rates. If prices are going up a lot, the Bank of England might raise interest rates to try to bring them down. This could affect the value of the pound.
Retail sales data incoming
Finally, on Friday, we will get more information about how much people are spending in shops. This is important because it tells us how confident consumers are feeling. If people are spending a lot of money, it means they are feeling good about the economy. If they are not spending much, it could be a sign that they are worried about the future.
The most important information to look out for is the CPI data on Wednesday. Inflation in the US has been higher than expected, and some people think this might also be happening in other countries. If the data shows that prices are staying high for longer than expected, it could cause the pound to increase in value against the dollar. This would be good news for traders who have set a target price of 129 for the pound. However, if prices do not decrease as quickly as expected, the pound could struggle to break through a certain level, which is currently at 128.82. Traders need to pay attention to this CPI data because it could have a big impact on how the pound performs against the dollar.
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